Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Wash Times/Zogby Poll - October 10, 2012

Likely Voter, 800 sample size, Tied 45-45, 9% undecided.

It's always fun to be able to mock Zogby.  However, unlike the last time, the results aren't bizarre.  The D/R/I for the poll is 38/35/27, which is defensible.  Independents favor Romney slightly.  The large numbers of Undecideds push this poll toward Romney in the models. Putting the results into the reweighting models we get the following:

Even - Current result
O+0.2 - 2008 turnout
R+5.1 - 2010 turnout
R+5.1 - 2004 turnout
R+6.8 - Rasmussen Party ID

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