Tuesday, October 2, 2012

October 2, 2012 Analysis

Polls included:
O+1 - Rasmussen Daily Track
O+2 - ABC/WaPo
O+2 - Battleground
O+5 - Fox News
O+4 - Quinipiac

O+2.83% - Current RCP Average
O+3.88% - Average using the 2008 turnout model
R+1.18% - Average using the 2010 turnout model
R+1.27% - Average using the 2004 turnout model
R+2.59% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model

With the inclusion of the CNN/ORG poll, which was very favorable to Romney, and the Quinipiac poll which was slightly favorable to Romney, Romney again jumps into the lead in the averages using most turnout models.

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