October 15, 2012 AnalysisPolls included:
R+2 - Rasmussen Daily Track
R+1 - Fox News
O+1 - IBD/Tipp
R+4 - Pew
O+3 - ABC/WaPo
R+1 - Survey USA
R+0.67% - Current RCP Average
O+0.59% - Average using the 2008 turnout model
R+2.23% - Average using the D+3 turnout model
R+4.50% - Average using the 2010 turnout model
R+4.54% - Average using the 2004 turnout model
R+6.32% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model
The Zogby poll has been removed from the RCP average (why I don't know, there are older polls in the average), and the ABC/Washington Post poll has been added. This results in little change in the averages, since the WaPo poll is very good for Romney (once you get into the internals). Rasmussen expanded Romney's lead with a rare good polling day for him on a Saturday. I expect this to drop back down to a 1 point lead today, then jump back up to 2 tomorrow.
Overall, Romney remains in control of this race.