October 21, 2012 Analysis

Polls included:
R+1 - Rasmussen Daily Track
R+1 - Fox News
O+3 - IBD/Tipp
O+1 -Battleground
O+3 - ABC/WaPo
R+1 - Survey USA
O+3 - Hartford Courant/UConn

O+0.94% - Current RCP Average
O+0.58% - Average using the 2008 turnout model
R+2.09% - Average using the D+3 turnout model
R+4.22% - Average using the 2010 turnout model
R+4.29% - Average using the 2004 turnout model
R+5.90% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model

As expected, Rasmussen moved to Romney +1 today. This averaged out with the IBD/Tipp poll which lost a point of support for Romney to "Undecided".  Tipp is on track to being a laughing stock at the end of this.  Their internals are nonsense, with Independents favoring Romney by 10, yet Romney continuing to slide.

Overall not much change from yesterday, with a small movement toward Romney in all the averages.