Battleground Poll - October 1, 2012

Likely Voter, 1000 sample size, Obama leads 49-47, 4% undecided.

This poll hasn't changed much from the last time it was run, with 1 point of movement toward Romney.  The partisan ID remains the same as last time with a D/R/I of 43/40/17.  Independents now favor Romney by 4% in this poll.  The turnout models give the following results:

O+2 - Current result
O+2.7 - 2008 turnout
R+1.3 - 2010 turnout
R+1.4 - 2004 turnout
R+2.5 - Rasmussen Party ID