Dave in Fla's Poll Analysis

November 1 , 2012 Analysis (posted early) I'm sure with RCP moving into a tie and the National Journal poll being released, people ar...

National Journal Poll - October 31 , 2012 Likely Voter, 713 sample, Obama leads 50-45, 5% undecided. I really hate these guys.  They po...

Fox News Poll - October 31 , 2012 Likely Voter, 1128 sample size, Tied 46-46, 6% undecided. This poll was last run on October 10th.  De...

Senate Update - Panic in the Disco edition I hate when Fox does those stupid "look at the Senate" pieces during the panel, becau...

October 31 , 2012 Ohio Update Two new polls come into the RCP average from Survey USA and Quinnipiac.  The Survey USA poll showing Obama l...

October 3 1 , 2012 Analysis Polls included: Tracking Polls R+2 - Rasmussen Daily Track R+5 - Gallup O+1.3 - IBD/Tipp R+1 - ABC/WaPo ...

CBS/NYT Poll - October 30 , 2012 Likely Voter, 563 sample size, Obama leads 48-47, 3% undecided. Let's get the obvious out of the wa...

Some trends over the last few days Let's take another look at the poll model trend lines over the last few days.  I've shown this ...

What is really going on with early voting? I noted a problem yesterday with the Rasmussen Ohio poll that I think needs further discussion....

October 30, 2012 Analysis Polls included: Tracking Polls R+2 - Rasmussen Daily Track R+5 - Gallup O+1.3 - IBD/Tipp Even - ABC/WaPo ...